Not going to save the Xbox

Meridian 59 is acclaimed as the first MMORPG, following a long line of Multi-User-Dungeons (MUDs) and paving the way for Ultima Online to come in and steal the show only to give way to Everquest, and eventually World of Warcraft. Despite a fifteen year timeline, these titles are still up and running to this day, Meridian making its rounds at fifteen years. Unfortunately if these titles had been released on the home console market, they would have died out a long time ago.

When Turbine said that developing for a console was easier than developing for a PC, they were 100% correct, but for the wrong reasons. Developing for a console is easy because you can optimize the game for one configuration, hence why each current generation console is able to get current generation graphics despite comparatively low specs to the equal PC (A pc may need two gigabytes of ram to what the console only requires 512 megabytes). With a console you don’t have to worry about people screaming for support for every obscure peripheral device, and cheating is much less of an issue (well it was at least).

I said the most important thing an MMO has to deal with for success is retention rate, not only pulling in a lot of subscribers but keeping them there after they have started paying those monthly fees. Obviously keeping the game flowing is a cause, but it all pours into keeping the subscribers happy while keeping your focus of the game.

Console MMOs, however, have a generally unmentioned brick wall: Life expectancy. This week Microsoft announced that on April 15th, Xbox Live will shut down for good on the original Xbox. Not only will service for the Xbox shut down, but also service for all Xbox Original games on the 360, meaning say goodbye to your Halo 2 multiplayer statistics, those are gone. Now, the Xbox doesn’t have any MMOs to speak of, but it does raise a firm brick wall: Not only does the MMO have to deal with its own life expectancy, but that of the console’s online service. Granted, an MMO that was released on the Xbox two years before the Xbox 360 launch would have enjoyed a five year lifetime, but you could still look towards Everquest, Ultima Online, and Meridian that are still running after ten years.

As far as console MMOs, players have the choice between Final Fantasy XI, Everquest, and almost nothing else. Phantasy Star Universe is here, but shutting down on all systems sans Xbox360 this March, and Massive Action Game is making its rounds on the PS3 but just launched last month. Other than Final Fantasy’s success, which has been slight compared to the PC MMO market, and Everquest limping along which topped out at below thirty thousand and has since dropped, the only other MMO to speak of is the Phantasy Star Universe line. Each Phantasy Star Online title in the franchise has had a two to three year life expectancy before shutting down due to low subscriber numbers.

So the MMO market in consoles may be bigger, but tapping into that market is a difficult venture that has yet to be accomplished. Age of Conan, Star Trek Online, Champions Online, The Secret World, and DC Universe Online are just a few of the titles looking to break into the MMO marketplace, with Massive Action Game just recently launching on the PS3 to much support from the fans. Although doing analysis would be much easier if the publishers would give us straight numbers on the titles, all we can do is go by the official reports, as well as reports from players on the field.

Is there a console version of World of Warcraft (not literally) that will rise up and tell all of the other console MMOs how the game is really played? If the (slightly buggy) transferral of Final Fantasy XI from the Playstation 2 to the Playstation 3 is any indicator, hopefully we can avoid the human aspect of the console MMO (That just because your neighbor was gunned down at the age of 25 and you weren’t doesn’t mean you are going to live forever).